我们预计，今年和明年全球增速将稳定保持在3.3%的水平，与疫情前大幅放缓的潜在增速大体一致。通胀正在下行，今明两年将分别下降至4.2%和3.5%，逐步回落至央行的目标水平，为货币政策进一步回归常态创造条件。这将有助于结束近年来包括新冠疫情、俄乌战争等 ...

预计2025年和2026年全球经济增速均为3.3%，与2024年10月《世界经济展望》的预测基本持平。其中，美国的预期增速被上调，这抵消了其他地区增速的下调。近期前景的特点在于各国的路径出现分化，而中期的增长风险偏向下行。通胀压力的重新抬头可能阻碍货 ...

受人工智能影响，亚太地区经济体的劳动力市场很可能会出现变化，而发达经济体受到的影响将更大。在该地区发达经济体的工作岗位中，约有一半受到人工智能的影响；而在新兴市场和发展中经济体，这一比例只有大约四分之一。

The World Economic Outlook (WEO) is a survey of prospects and policies by the IMF staff, usually published twice a year, with updates in between. It presents analyses and projections of the world ...

On January 13, the Executive Board of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) concluded the Article IV consultation with The Bahamas.

The economic literature has long attributed non-zero expected excess returns in currency markets to time-varying risk premiums demanded by risk-averse investors. This paper, building on Bacchetta and ...

This paper analyzes the transmission of ECB policy rate changes to bank interest rates in Kosovo during the 2022-23 tightening cycle. While both lending and deposit rates increased, the passthrough ...

This paper examines the evolution and challenges of Kosovo's pension system. Since its inception, a basic pension and mandatory individual accounts have formed the key element of Kosovo’s pension ...

Расхождения в темпах роста сохраняются и могут увеличиться, в то время как изменения в экономической политике могут вновь усилить инфляционное давление в некоторых странах.

Growth divergences persist and could widen, while policy shifts may reignite inflation pressures in some countries ...

Kosovo has embarked on a journey of digital transformation, developing digital infrastructure to provide access to households, companies, and educational institutions and modernizing its public ...